Or at least that’s one of the big takeaways from this study about geography and recruiting from Basketball Prospectus and Drew Cannon. It’s an amazing tome of information and I highly recommend you check out the Appendices as well because there’s a lot of great information there in the raw numbers.
Mickey McConnell came up as one of the top comparisons to Charles Jenkins when I looked at the Hofstra guard. McConnell also won the West Coast Conference Player of the Year award and was an Honorable Mention All-American last season after putting up some great tempo-free statistics and being the leader of a Saint Mary’s squad that finished 25-9 and was one of the best teams left out of the NCAA Tournament. Does that make him an NBA draft prospect?
Yahoo!’s Jason King recently posted about the top mid-major teams to watch for the 2011-12 college basketball season. It’s an interesting list and certainly worth checking out, but I have a few issues with it. One is that Iona isn’t on the list – in fact not a single MAAC team is. The other is that some of the teams on the list really don’t seem like mid-majors at all.
Justin Harper is getting hype as a late first round pick and it’s pretty easy to understand why. At 6’9 he should be able to play either forward position in the NBA and he can shoot the lights out. But what makes Harper great also makes it difficult to find comparisons. Eight of his 10 comps come from one conference, but it’s not the Atlantic 10, and they also leave some doubts about his skills will translate to the next level.
The blog Keepin’ Track of the MAAC is spending the off season taking a look at each program and recapping the 2010-11 season. I’ve found it an invaluable resource. Today’s recap focuses on St. Peter’s and suggests the Peacocks might not be done surprising people yet, so be sure to check it out.
Two Horizon League players are considered legitimate draft candidates this season – Cleveland State’s Norris Cole and Butler’s Shelvin Mack. Both are probably looking at second round selections. As my next step in the similarity score world I’m going to take a look at their closest comparables. Also, just for fun I threw in Mack’s former teammate Matt Howard. Their comparables are all after the jump. (By the way, one thing I’ve learned, Charles Jenkins is one unique player. The scores are much lower for these three players.)
Well, my player similarity creator has finally been finished and its test case – Hofstra’s Charles Jenkins – has been run through the ringer. With the NBA Draft coming up I thought it might be interesting to look at Jenkins’ comparables from the past 10 seasons. There are some names out there that make it seems like an NBA career is certainly possible.
Now that Lamont “Momo” Jones has agreed to come to Iona and possibly even play during the 2011-12 season, the Gaels are being talked about as not only the MAAC’s (and NYC’s) top team, but a sleeper to make a deep NCAA Tournament run.
It really seems like people are getting ahead of themselves and I’d like to dig back into the value add well to explain why.