NYC Stat Nuggets From Hoop-Math

If you really want to dig into college basketball statistics a subscription to KenPom has become a must have. Another site is quickly becoming a go-to for me. is run by Jeff Haley and it has some really interesting information. You can subscribe for just $15. (I already have.) Here are some interesting things I’ve learned about each NYC team using the site.

St. John’s really does shoot a lot of two-point jumpers, but a few teams shoot more. According to hoop-math, 43.4% of the Red Storm’s field goal attempts are two-point jump shots. That’s 8th nationally. There are some decent teams in front of St. John’s on that list (North Carolina is No. 1, BYU is No. 4), but UNC has shot 8.5 percentage points better on those shots. JaKarr Sampson has attempted 137 field goals this season and 79 (58%) of them have been two-point jumpers. So yes, he really does shoot as many of them as you think. Jamal Branch (61%) and Phil Greene (51%) both take more than half their shots from that area too.

Conversely, Columbia takes almost no two-point jumpers. The Lions have taken the fourth lowest percentage of two-point jump shots in the nation (12.9%). The teams in front of them? Princeton, UCF, and Eastern Kentucky. Obviously this means Columbia’s shots come mostly at the rim (46.8%) or from three (40.3%). Isaac Cohen doesn’t shoot much, but when he does it’s probably a high-percentage look. He shoots 86% of his shots from around the rim. Freshman forward Luke Petrasek has the second highest percentage of two-point jumpers (21%) on amongst regulars. That’s mostly because he’s playing off of Corey Osetkowski. So it’s somewhat understandable. Petrasek is also making 40% of those shots, which is a respectable percentage (36% is DI average).

Fordham and Wagner have trouble scoring around the rim. The average Division I team shoots 61% around the rim. Fordham (51%) and Wagner (52%) are well below that mark. Actually they’re the 12th and 15th worst shooting teams on shots around the rim. (Four MAAC teams: Monmouth, Quinnipiac, Fairfield, and Marist are in the bottom 10.) For Wagner it is an entire team thing. Only infrequent shooters like Nolan Long, Hugo Naurais and Langston Burnett are above the Division I average. Orlando Parker is listed at 6’8″ and has shot 35% at the rim this season. Logically guards shoot worse at the rim than big men, but Fordham’s Jon Severe has made only 27% of his shots around the rim this season, probably why he only goes to the rim about a fifth of the time.

Jason Brickman’s impact on LIU Brooklyn can be seen in the Blackbirds’ numbers for how many of their baskets at the rim are assisted. Almost 56% of LIU’s scores around the rim have been assisted, far above the DI average of 42%. Players like Landon Atterberry (81% of around the rim baskets assisted) and Glenn Feidanga (86%) live off of Brickman’s ability to penetrate and dish. Historically the same has been true for other LIU forwards such as Julian Boyd. During the season 2011-12 when he won NEC Player of the Year 71% of Boyd’s baskets at the rim were assisted.

Shane Richards of Manhattan is excellent in transition. If you’ve watched the Jaspers play this season you probably know this innately, but teams lose Richards all the time in transition. Hoop-math tracks “offense in transition” stats for plays within the first 10 seconds of a change of possession. Richards has take 31 field goal attempts in those situations and has an effective field goal percentage of 73%. It’s because he’s so dangerous flaring out to the wing for threes. Twenty-eight of those 31 attempts have been threes and he’s made 54% of them.

Stony Brook’s Jameel Warney is a beast on the boards and he’s able to turn offensive rebounds in points in a productive manner. Hoop-math tracks “offensive rebound putbacks” and Warney has 22 of those shots this season – defined as within four seconds of getting an offensive rebound. On putbacks at the rim Warney shoots 72%. It’s a small sample size, but it also speaks to his ability to go up strong with the ball if he gets it near the rim. St. Francis Brooklyn’s Jalen Cannon is also generates a lot of putbacks. More than a quarter of his shots around the rim come from putbacks and he’s shot 55% on them.

Here’s a fun quick fact for Iona: Sean Armand shoots better than the average Division I player from everywhere on the court. It’s what makes him so dangerous offensively. A.J. English on the other hand is just good at knocking down threes.

All of Hofstra’s tables are interesting, so I’d recommend just go checking them out. Hoop-math provides a plethora of information if you subscribe. It’s worth it if you really want to dig into the “why” and find tendencies about a specific team or player. It gives you a firm foundation to work in terms of offensive strategy that can then be verified with your eyes. The perfect type of statistics for any college basketball fan.

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  1. Pingback: How scorekeeper biases affect shot-selection data | Beanpot Hoops

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